Friday, March 16, 2012

Illinois: Republican Primary Vote Breakdown

Despite previous reports that about 70% of the vote will come from the Chicago are, this is incorrect.  Although 70% of the population of Illinois lives in the Chicago area, the vast majority of these people are Democrats, unlikely to vote in the Republican primary.

A more accurate estimate is that about 50-55% of the vote in the Republican primary will come from Chicagoland area and 45-50% will come from downstate.  This is more positive news for Rick Santorum since he will likely beat Romney in the downstate counties and lost to Romney in the Chicago area.

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